Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 6 June 2025 12:30

Previous
4.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.2%
Actual
4.2%

Next event - Thursday 3 July 2025 12:30

Previous
4.2%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.2% against a forecast of 4.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 6 June 2025 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 May 2025 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 4 April 2025 12:30
4.1%
4.2%
Friday 7 March 2025 13:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change47.958.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change52.260.5
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change6.6%5.1%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.2%4.1%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)248K248K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.5%2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.2%3%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$258B$-316B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.9%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.6%62.4%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change147K139K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.8%7.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change239K247K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change-0.8%-1.5%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change5.7%6.6%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change105.441K93.816K
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change4950.7
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change52.346.4
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.649.9
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change65.168.7
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.153
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change60K37K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change3.4%-3.7%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.2M7.391M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change46.546.8
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.247.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.748.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change69.869.4

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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