Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

The Durable Goods Orders excluding Defense, released by the US Census Bureau, measures the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, excluding the defense sector. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as Bearish.

Most recent - Tuesday, 27 May 12:30

Previous
10.4%
Revised
9%
Forecast
-
Actual
-7.5%

Next event - Thursday, 26 June 12:30

Previous
-7.5%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Durable Goods Orders ex Defense yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Durable Goods Orders ex Defense was -7.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
27 May 2025 12:30
-
-7.5%
24 April 2025 12:30
0.2%
10.4%
26 March 2025 12:30
-
0.8%
27 February 2025 13:30
-
3.5%
28 January 2025 13:30
-
-2.4%
23 December 2024 13:30
-
-0.3%
27 November 2024 13:30
-
0.4%
25 October 2024 12:30
-
-1.1%
26 September 2024 12:30
-
-0.2%
26 August 2024 12:30
-
10.4%
25 July 2024 12:30
-
-7%
27 June 2024 12:30
-
-0.2%
24 May 2024 12:30
-
0%
24 April 2024 12:30
2.5%
2.3%
26 March 2024 12:30
1.1%
2.2%
27 February 2024 13:30
-
-7.3%
25 January 2024 13:30
1.1%
0.5%
22 December 2023 13:30
2.2%
6.5%
22 November 2023 13:30
-
-6.7%
26 October 2023 12:30
-
5.8%
27 September 2023 12:30
-
-0.7%
24 August 2023 12:30
-
-5.4%
27 July 2023 12:30
0%
6.2%
27 June 2023 12:30
0%
3%
26 May 2023 12:30
0.1%
-0.6%
26 April 2023 12:30
0%
3.5%
24 March 2023 12:30
0%
-0.5%
27 February 2023 13:30
0.1%
-5.1%
26 January 2023 13:30
-0.1%
6.3%
23 December 2022 13:30
0.1%
-2.6%
23 November 2022 13:30
-0.1%
0.8%
27 October 2022 12:30
0%
1.4%
27 September 2022 12:30
0%
-0.9%
24 August 2022 12:30
0%
1.2%
27 July 2022 12:30
0%
0.4%
27 June 2022 12:30
-0.5%
0.6%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Durable Goods Orders ex Defense result:

PreviousLatest
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.1%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)3.9%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)3%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.422M1.393M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.392M1.256M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change250K245K
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change-0.1%-0.9%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.3%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-9.2-16
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change47.958.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change52.260.5
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change6.6%5.1%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.2%4.1%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)248K248K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.5%2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.2%3%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$258B$-316B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.9%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.6%62.4%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change147K139K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.8%7.8%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.2%4.2%

About Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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